EMFX: Russian Ruble Reattempts to Resume Bullish Trend

In today’s Front Row, we take a look at Emerging Market FX. Most currencies are up against the dollar at the time of writing, but not all currencies have the same prospects of adding to its gains. The Russian ruble is looking most promising, while the USDZAR is looking to be carving out a significant inverse head and shoulders pattern. USDTRY is outright bullish, and it seems like the Turkish lira will add to its losses in the days ahead, while USDMXN is trading sideways.

The Russian ruble is looking most interesting after taking a break to its uptrend in the last few weeks. The USDRUB attempted in March to breakout from a multi-month descending triangle but fell short, after reaching a low of 63.68 and traded back into the pattern. However, in the last few days the price is once again trying to trade lower, and ATFX’s Chief Market Strategist, Alejandro Zambrano, suspects that USDRUB might reach its 2019 low of 63.62 as long as the price trades below this week’s high of 65.67.

The Turkish Lira is also highlighted the video, as it looks to trade lower on technicals, but also as President Erdogan kept up pressure for a recount of local elections in Istanbul. The USDTRY left a relatively stable price range that latest from November 2018 to March 2019, and looks now to be heading to its rectangle pattern of 5.96. The price will need to trade below the April 2 low of 5.67 to turn neutral.

The Mexican Peso is trading sideways between 18.74 and 19.60, but the long-term prospects of a strong trend look good on a break to 18.74.

The South African rand is the short-term bullish, but if we take a longer-term view, it looks like the price is trying to carve out a significant inverse head and shoulders pattern.

Bio

Alejandro Zambrano is ATFX’s Global Chief Market Strategist, and he combines extensive professional experience and a pragmatic attitude to trading, building clients’ understanding of the markets and the rationale behind investing.

Before joining ATFX, Zambrano was the Chief Market Strategist of the FCA regulated broker, Amana Capital. Prior to that he was also the Head Analyst at FXCM’s London research desk. Zambrano has been using his invaluable experience to research the financial markets with a special focus on currencies and macroeconomics, throughout his career. He also covers commodity markets and equity indices. Working for various brokers, Zambrano also developed premium educational programs, and hundreds of people have attended his courses throughout the years.


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This market update was provided with an educational purpose, and is the personal opinion of Alejandro Zambrano, and not to viewed as trading advice by ATFX or Red Castle Ideas LTD.

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