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EURJPY bounces off trend line support. What next?

Wordwide FX Financial Translations invites all Chinese speakers to read technical analyses by expert analyst Greg Michalowski, chief of education at ForexLive, in their own language. Our expert team provide perfect translations with native terminology, so that Chinese speakers all over the world can enjoy Greg’s in-depth analysis of the most relevant currency pairs.

 

Today: EURJPY bounces off trend line support. What next?

 

外汇技术分析:欧元日元从趋势线支撑位反弹。走势如何?

 

试探日内阻力

欧元日元今天走低,从12月初的高点、100天移动均线(下图中的蓝色线)急剧下跌。

 

跌势带动价格触及另一个关键技术水平,即相反的支撑位。此水平是9月和11月低点的下跌趋势线,落在128.67。今天的低点与趋势线重叠(见上图)。

虽然无法准确预知未来的走势,但在100天移动均线上方,很多交易者可以在这一明确的技术水平界定和限定风险。交易者往往利用移动均线设置下行突破止损和保护交易。这就是今天的低点和12月份的高点所出现的情况。100天移动均线成为阻力。价格重回200天均线(绿色线)下方,空方带动价格下行。

如何确定最低点?我们同样无法完全确定,但可以考察买方可能进场的目标点位。

 以下5分钟图显示,货币对在最后两个交易日走低,落在5分钟图表的100天均线。今天早前曾一度突破移动均线,但未果(参考下图红色圈7)。价格虽然再次向上触及此均线,但遇阻。上一下跌趋势50%的水平(加速走势)同样成为阻力(129.27)。如果买方无法推动价格突破此区间,则难以主控。需要突破并维持,买方才会入场。

判断是否形成关键底部(或顶部),往往需要查看是否形成相反的趋势水平。如果走势明显——如5分钟图所示——,价格走势和价格走势相应的工具将给予交易者信心。买方和卖方各自清楚所期望的水平。

 

 

Tuesday, 05 Jan, 2016 / 10:56

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Source : http://wordwidefx.com/ca/blog/post/daep-kui-yu-dyags

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